NEW DELHI: A little over a month ago, India recorded its highest-ever surge of 4.14 lakh Covid cases in a single day. That's when the devastating second wave of Covid had finally peaked in India.
Over the last month, the daily new infections have maintained a steady declining trend. On Saturday, India registered just over 84,000 fresh cases — the fifth consecutive day of infections staying below 1 lakh.
However, the thing to note about the ongoing decline is the speed at which the cases have come down. In fact, the decline almost mirrors the surge that happened in the run up to the peak.
Here are 5 charts to understand how the second wave has waned in India ...
Other side of the peak
Saturday's count of 84,000 fresh Covid cases in India is the lowest since April 2.
It took India 35 days to go from the 80,000-mark on April 1 to over 4.14 lakh on May 6. However, the decline has been just as quick with India taking nearly the same amount of time — 36 days — to fall back to similar numbers.
In the Covid graph above, the steep upslope and downslope on either side of a jagged peak is indicative of how dynamically the pandemic situation has unfolded in India.
No dip in testing
Another notable thing about India's Covid numbers is that the testing rate has remained high. In fact, India is testing more people on average than it did during the peak of the second wave.
On average, India tested 24 lakh people a day over the last week compared to 17.5 lakh people a day in the week leading up to its peak.
This also indicates that the positivity rate has fallen drastically.
Currently, India's case positivity rate is down to just 4% compared to 26% at the start of May.
Positivity rate is the proportion of people whose tests come back positive out of the total samples tested. It indicates the spread of the virus in the community.
The World Health Organization (WHO) has recommended that before reopening, positivity rate should remain at 5% or lower for at least 14 days.
Active cases down
India's active cases have come down to under 11-lakh, which is the lowest since April 9.
During the surge, India's active infection count had scaled an all-time high of over 37 lakh. This was a key reason behind the healthcare crisis in the country as a massive surge in hospitalisations triggered a shortage of crucial drugs and ventilators.
According to the health ministry, active cases are now only 3.68% of the country's total positive cases.
Recoveries continue to outpace infections
With the second wave on the wane, the recoveries have been consistently outpacing the new infections — another reason why the active count is declining rapidly.
Over 1.21 lakh patients recovered from Covid in the last 24 hours compared to 84,332 testing positive. A wide gap between recoveries and fresh infection is common in the aftermath of the peak.
The health ministry figures show that India's overall recovery rate has improved to 95.07% in a sustained increasing trend.