Epidemic is crawling or in retreat: Active cases falling in 90% districts across India

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Written by Amitabh Sinha

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Pune | June 21, 2021 2:43:00 am

Vaccination in progress at Gurudwara Guru Nanak Darbar in Camp in association with Pune Cantonment board. (Express photo by Arul Horizon)

While more than 50,000 new cases of coronavirus infections are still being detected across the country every day, almost 90 per cent of the over 650 districts for which data are available, are now in a phase of steady decline.

In the week from June 12 to June 19, only 70 districts in the country saw an increase in the numbers of active cases. The increase in active cases was more than 100 in just 27 of these districts. In 18 districts, the rise was in single digits.

However, 23 of these 70 districts are in West Bengal, the only major state where active cases have increased in the last one week. The state had been witnessing a steep fall in its active cases before that. Active cases had dropped from a high of 1.32 lakh to less than 15,000 in just 20 days. But there has been a reversal in trend after that. As of Saturday, June 19, the state had 23,000 active cases, the eighth highest in the country right now.

However, the rise in active cases in West Bengal has not been due to detection of more cases. The new detections have been falling consistently, and these days, the state has been reporting less than 3,000 infections a day. But in the last one week, the number of people who are being declared as recovered has gone down even more sharply, leading to a rise in the active cases. On Saturday, for example, 2,486 new infections were reported in the state, while only 2,100 people were declared to have recovered.

Manipur and Mizoram are the only other states to have seen a rise in active cases in the last one week, but in both these states, the number is well within 1,000.

There are six districts in Maharashtra which have seen a rise in active cases in the last one week — Mumbai, Palghar, Buldhana, Sangli, Aurangabad, and Parbhani. Mumbai, which has 21,000 active cases right now, saw an increase of 777 in the last one week.

In West Bengal, Kolkata, East Medinipur and North 24 Paragnas have registered the biggest rise in active cases.

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